SportWitness Betting Blog - 4/5th Feb 2012

 

 

 

 

LWDWD

Arsenal (6) v Blackburn (18)

DWDLL

6-2

2-0

4-0

6-2

0-0

DDLWW

Norwich (10) v Bolton (17)

LWWLL

-

-

-

-

-

WLLLD

QPR (16) v Wolves (19)

DDDLL

0-1

0-0

1-0

-

-

LDDWW

Stoke (8) v Sunderland (11)

LWWLL

2-1

-

1-0

1-0

3-2

LLDLL

West Brom (15) v Swansea (13)

LWLDL

-

-

-

0-1

-

LLDDL

Wigan (20) v Everton (9)

DLWDL

0-2

1-2

1-0

0-1

1-1

WWWWW

Man City (1) v Fulham (14)

LDDLD

3-1

2-3

1-3

2-2

1-1

WWLDL

Newcastle (7) v Aston Villa (12)

WWDWD

3-1

0-0

2-0

-

6-0

WLDWW

Chelsea (4) v Man United (2)

WLWWW

0-0

2-1

1-1

1-0

2-1

DWDWD

Liverpool (5) v Tottenham (3)

LDWLW

3-0

2-2

3-1

2-0

0-2

 

 

This week see’s important clashes at the top and bottom of the table.

 

A dysfunctional Chelsea welcome the ultra functional if not less talented Manchester United who still seem to be beating teams even with a squad that is being stretched and is no doubt down on talent compared with past seasons. Its an important game for both Chelsea, who are desperate to at very least keep tabs on both Manchester clubs and keep the pressure on Spurs, whilst United will want to keep pushing Manchester City at the top.  I can see no glaring advantage either team has over the other… both don’t have a free scoring front line, both have struggled with players at the back – for differing reasons, and both have looked weaker than usual through the middle. However I am going to go for United to win, this is purely on the basis of how Chelsea have performed all season, every player seems to take an extra touch, their build up play in nearly always slow, methodical and in the large part unimaginative. United at least still move the ball quickly, with Luiz still going walk about in the Chelsea defence and not much pace around the Chelsea team United could do some serious damage on the counter attack.  The concern would be if United have to field Ben Amos and Chelsea do put him under pressure, but from I was seen of him against Stoke I don’t think he’s actually much below the lvl of the “senior” keepers anyway. So I’m going to go for a sneaky United win by the odd goal.

 

Spurs travel to Liverpool knowing a win will shake Liverpool off in the hunt for 4th, also doing Chelsea a favour, but Liverpool have hit some form… results wise at least. However Liverpool lack of pace and suspect defending will come back to haunt them at Anfeild, surely Kenny isn’t going to go 3 (5 at the back basically) again… at home… surely not? Spurs have pace, creativity, power and solid defence and I can see Bale (who’s form has getting better and better) tearing Liverpool’s defence a new one. So I go for Spurs to win, but also think Bale would be a good bet for first goal scorer.

 

Then QPR welcome fellow strugglers Wolves. QPR have spent more in January to try and move up the league with new manager Hughes, but don’t underestimate McCarthy’s Wolves. They have a decent squad and if Mick can pick them up and they play with their usual high tempo and grit I’m sure Wolves and take something out of this game. It’s difficult to know how QPR with react to the changes in the team and if Zamora can settle in quickly I’ve no doubt they’ll quickly pull out away to safety, but this weekend I just fancy Mick to have his team spitting fire and fighting tooth and nail for everything… can Wolves win, of course but I think a score draw is the most likely result.

 

WC’s Predictions.

Arsenal  v Blackburn – Home Win

Norwich  v  Bolton - Draw

QPR  v  Wolves - Draw

Stoke v Sunderland - Draw

West Brom v Swansea – Away Win

Wigan v Everton – Away Win

Man City v Fulham – Home Win

Newcastle v Aston Villa - Draw

Chelsea v Man Utd – Away Win

Liverpool v Tottenham – Away Win

 

WC’s Trebles…

 

Man City, Everton & Arsenal  which pays out at a stingy 4-1 if you’re lucky.

 

Or

 

All Draws - QPR/Wolves, Stoke/Sunderland & WestBrom/Swansea which come in at 40-1

 

Toto’s Top Tip

 

A.C. Milan vs. Napoli

Sunday 5th February 2012, 7.45pm, San Siro.

The Rossoneri have a good record of victories over Napoli and apart from a recent disappointment at the hands of Lazio, they are on a good run of form against mainly lesser opposition. They will be hoping to carry some of that momentum into this tie and will need to hit the ground running. Naples on the other hand are on a fairly terrible run of form and will struggle to get a grip on this encounter, with star man Edinson Cavani likely to be their biggest threat and probably their only likely source of goals.

Milan will be relying on their usual high line to put pressure on Napoli's 3-man defence and will look to exploit any tiredness in the opposition, as Napoli have worked hard in recent fixtures to little or no avail. It'll be a hard night for AC's midfield though if the men in blue can gain consistent possession, and they'll be relying on the likes of Mark van Bommel, Antonio Nocerino and Urby Emanuelson to contain the dangerous Marek Hamsik, Blerim Dzemaili and Gokhan Inler in the middle. Both sides are likely to be without two of their most exciting players, with Alex Pato and Ezequiel Lavezzi struggling to recover from month-long injuries, leaving the door open for Robinho to feature and new signing Maxi Lopez looking to stake his claim for a place in the side. With Prince also injured I would expect Milan to play a more direct style if struggling and this could easily mean goals for the inconsistent Zlatan Ibraimovic.

This is a big game for both sides with Milan needing three points to keep up with Juve in the Scudetto race, and Napoli need to get results in big games like this if they're to stand any chance of getting any European football by league standing next season. Remember Napoli always have the ability to mix things up, they're by no means a one dimensional team.

Napoli to win - 9/2 stands a good chance of getting you a return, the Lazio result shook up Milan's title credentials in the Italian press with their defence and midfield unable to handle Rocchi and Hernanes.

Bet on Cavani to score at any time and you're almost certain to get something back.

 

Machin Money

 

Coming soon

 

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Comment by thecityisred on February 2, 2012 at 14:13

MINE

Arsenal  v Blackburn – DRAW

Norwich  v  Bolton - HOME

QPR  v  Wolves - HOME

Stoke v Sunderland - AWAY

West Brom v Swansea – DRAW

Wigan v Everton – AWAY

Man City v Fulham – DRAW

Newcastle v Aston Villa - DRAW

Chelsea v Man Utd – AWAY

Liverpool v Tottenham – DRAW

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